Tropical Storm BUD
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TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006
2100 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.0W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.0W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 112.6W
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.9N 114.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 5NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.0N 117.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 65SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.6N 120.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 85NE 85SE 75SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.2N 123.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 17.4N 127.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.2N 130.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 113.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/ROTH
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