Tropical Storm BUD

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TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
2100 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.0W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.0W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 112.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.9N 114.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW   5NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.0N 117.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  65SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.6N 120.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 85NE  85SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.2N 123.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 17.4N 127.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.2N 130.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 113.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/ROTH
 
 
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