Tropical Storm ALETTA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006
0900Z MON MAY 29 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 2(13) X(13)
MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 1(14)
L CARDENAS 34 1 14(15) 11(26) 5(31) 4(35) 1(36) X(36)
L CARDENAS 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 8 17(25) 8(33) 3(36) 2(38) 1(39) X(39)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ACAPULCO 34 13 7(20) 3(23) 2(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27)
P MALDONADO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 164N 1012W 34 55 16(71) 3(74) 2(76) X(76) 1(77) X(77)
12 164N 1012W 50 9 8(17) 2(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
12 164N 1012W 64 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 164N 1020W 34 13 37(50) 8(58) 3(61) 2(63) 1(64) X(64)
24 164N 1020W 50 2 13(15) 6(21) 1(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24)
24 164N 1020W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 164N 1027W 34 3 26(29) 18(47) 4(51) 4(55) 1(56) X(56)
36 164N 1027W 50 X 7( 7) 7(14) 3(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20)
36 164N 1027W 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 164N 1034W 34 1 14(15) 20(35) 8(43) 6(49) 2(51) 1(52)
48 164N 1034W 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 5(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17)
48 164N 1034W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
72 163N 1047W 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 10(24) 9(33) 4(37) 1(38)
72 163N 1047W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) X(11)
72 163N 1047W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 160N 1060W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 9(19) 6(25) 2(27)
96 160N 1060W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
96 160N 1060W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
120 160N 1075W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) 3(17)
120 160N 1075W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
120 160N 1075W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 50 55 55 50 50 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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