Tropical Storm ALETTA

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012006               
2100Z SAT MAY 27 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)
 
L CARDENAS     34  1   1( 2)   5( 7)   5(12)   8(20)   4(24)   2(26)
L CARDENAS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  1   4( 5)   9(14)   6(20)   8(28)   3(31)   1(32)
ZIHUATANEJO    50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
ACAPULCO       34 17  15(32)  11(43)   3(46)   2(48)   2(50)   X(50)
ACAPULCO       50  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
ACAPULCO       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
P MALDONADO    34  9  14(23)  10(33)   3(36)   3(39)   1(40)   1(41)
P MALDONADO    50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)
 
P ANGEL        34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)
 
HUATULCO       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 160N 1002W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 160N 1002W 50  4   5( 9)   4(13)   2(15)   1(16)   1(17)   X(17)
 12 160N 1002W 64  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 24 163N  999W 34 47  11(58)   5(63)   1(64)   X(64)   1(65)   1(66)
 24 163N  999W 50  3   5( 8)   5(13)   1(14)   3(17)   X(17)   1(18)
 24 163N  999W 64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 36 167N 1003W 34 23  13(36)  10(46)   3(49)   2(51)   2(53)   X(53)
 36 167N 1003W 50  2   3( 5)   6(11)   1(12)   2(14)   1(15)   X(15)
 36 167N 1003W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 169N 1007W 34 12  11(23)  13(36)   4(40)   3(43)   3(46)   1(47)
 48 169N 1007W 50  1   2( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 48 169N 1007W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 170N 1015W 34  3   6( 9)  12(21)   6(27)   7(34)   3(37)   1(38)
 72 170N 1015W 50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   5(10)   X(10)   1(11)
 72 170N 1015W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 168N 1025W 34  1   3( 4)   6(10)   5(15)   9(24)   5(29)   2(31)
 96 168N 1025W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 96 168N 1025W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 165N 1035W 34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   9(15)   6(21)   3(24)
120 165N 1035W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
120 165N 1035W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      50      50      55      55      55
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
NNNN