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Tropical Depression ONE-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012006               
1500Z SAT MAY 27 2006                                               
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)
 
L CARDENAS     34  1   2( 3)   4( 7)   8(15)   6(21)   2(23)   2(25)
L CARDENAS     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  1   5( 6)   7(13)  10(23)   5(28)   1(29)   1(30)
ZIHUATANEJO    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ACAPULCO       34  1   9(10)  10(20)   9(29)   3(32)   1(33)   1(34)
ACAPULCO       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)
 
P MALDONADO    34  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   5(13)   3(16)   1(17)   1(18)
 
P ANGEL        34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)
 
HUATULCO       34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 155N 1012W 34 32  12(44)   4(48)   4(52)   1(53)   1(54)   X(54)
 12 155N 1012W 50  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   3(10)   2(12)   X(12)   1(13)
 12 155N 1012W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
 24 160N 1010W 34 20  18(38)   6(44)   4(48)   2(50)   1(51)   X(51)
 24 160N 1010W 50  1   5( 6)   2( 8)   3(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 24 160N 1010W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 164N 1009W 34  9  19(28)   9(37)   6(43)   3(46)   1(47)   1(48)
 36 164N 1009W 50  1   3( 4)   4( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   1(13)
 36 164N 1009W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 167N 1014W 34  5  14(19)  10(29)   5(34)   4(38)   1(39)   1(40)
 48 167N 1014W 50  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   1(11)
 48 167N 1014W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
 72 168N 1019W 34  3  10(13)   9(22)   7(29)   4(33)   2(35)   1(36)
 72 168N 1019W 50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 72 168N 1019W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
 96 168N 1025W 34  1   7( 8)   7(15)   9(24)   5(29)   3(32)   1(33)
 96 168N 1025W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 96 168N 1025W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 168N 1030W 34  1   3( 4)   5( 9)   9(18)   6(24)   3(27)   1(28)
120 168N 1030W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)
120 168N 1030W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      45      45      45      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC