ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 0300 UTC FRI SEP 29 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 15(24) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 9(26) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 7(23) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 2(13) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 2(22) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 300N 560W 34 83 6(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) 12 300N 560W 50 7 7(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 12 300N 560W 64 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 309N 573W 34 28 40(68) 8(76) 3(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) 24 309N 573W 50 1 15(16) 8(24) 1(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) 24 309N 573W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 319N 585W 34 4 34(38) 25(63) 6(69) 3(72) X(72) X(72) 36 319N 585W 50 X 4( 4) 16(20) 6(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) 36 319N 585W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 335N 596W 34 1 8( 9) 26(35) 17(52) 9(61) X(61) X(61) 48 335N 596W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 5(22) 1(23) X(23) 48 335N 596W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 380N 595W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 31(38) 9(47) X(47) 72 380N 595W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15) X(15) 72 380N 595W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 96 440N 535W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 8(34) 96 440N 535W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) 96 440N 535W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 490N 460W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 120 490N 460W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 120 490N 460W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 50 50 50 50 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 29-Sep-2006 02:55:01 UTC