Tropical Storm ISAAC
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 14(24)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 12(21)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 5(21)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 297N 556W 34 70 10(80) 1(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
12 297N 556W 50 7 5(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
12 297N 556W 64 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 305N 570W 34 15 45(60) 10(70) 2(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73)
24 305N 570W 50 X 15(15) 8(23) 1(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
24 305N 570W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
36 314N 581W 34 3 32(35) 24(59) 6(65) 3(68) X(68) X(68)
36 314N 581W 50 X 4( 4) 15(19) 6(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27)
36 314N 581W 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 328N 592W 34 1 8( 9) 26(35) 16(51) 7(58) 2(60) X(60)
48 328N 592W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22)
48 328N 592W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
72 365N 600W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 26(38) 8(46) 1(47)
72 365N 600W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) 1(16)
72 365N 600W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
96 420N 560W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 23(27) 7(34)
96 420N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11)
96 420N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
120 470N 470W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18)
120 470N 470W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
120 470N 470W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 50 50 50 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
NNNN
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