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Tropical Depression NINE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092006               
0900 UTC THU SEP 28 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  14(20)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  13(23)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   9(18)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   3(16)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 288N  557W 34 36  19(55)   1(56)   1(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 12 288N  557W 50  2   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 12 288N  557W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 300N  567W 34  7  41(48)  11(59)   3(62)   1(63)   1(64)   X(64)
 24 300N  567W 50  X   8( 8)   7(15)   1(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 24 300N  567W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 311N  577W 34  1  21(22)  27(49)   8(57)   4(61)   1(62)   X(62)
 36 311N  577W 50  X   2( 2)  11(13)   7(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 36 311N  577W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 323N  584W 34  X   7( 7)  25(32)  15(47)   9(56)   1(57)   X(57)
 48 323N  584W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)   5(20)   1(21)   X(21)
 48 323N  584W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 72 365N  585W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  29(37)   8(45)   1(46)
 72 365N  585W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   3(15)   X(15)
 72 365N  585W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 420N  540W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  24(27)   7(34)
 96 420N  540W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)
 96 420N  540W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 470N  460W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  14(18)
120 470N  460W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
120 470N  460W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      50      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Thursday, 28-Sep-2006 08:40:02 UTC