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Tropical Depression NINE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092006               
0300 UTC THU SEP 28 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  12(21)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  10(21)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   5(14)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   2(14)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 282N  550W 34 34  16(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 12 282N  550W 50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 282N  550W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 299N  565W 34  2  43(45)  11(56)   3(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 24 299N  565W 50  X   7( 7)   6(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 24 299N  565W 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 316N  576W 34  X  12(12)  35(47)   9(56)   3(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 36 316N  576W 50  X   1( 1)  11(12)   6(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 36 316N  576W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 336N  581W 34  X   2( 2)  19(21)  24(45)   9(54)   1(55)   X(55)
 48 336N  581W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   6(20)   1(21)   X(21)
 48 336N  581W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 380N  570W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  31(37)   8(45)   1(46)
 72 380N  570W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   4(16)   1(17)
 72 380N  570W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 96 420N  525W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  21(28)   6(34)
 96 420N  525W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)
 96 420N  525W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
 
120 460N  450W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  12(18)
120 460N  450W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
120 460N  450W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      50      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Thursday, 28-Sep-2006 02:55:01 UTC