ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HELENE SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 45 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1200 UTC SAT SEP 23 2006 AT 1200Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 382N 448W 34 96 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 382N 448W 50 90 8(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 382N 448W 64 44 30(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) 24 397N 403W 34 16 70(86) 6(92) X(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) 24 397N 403W 50 X 63(63) 13(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) 24 397N 403W 64 X 29(29) 11(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) 36 415N 358W 34 X 14(14) 58(72) 9(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 36 415N 358W 50 X X( X) 41(41) 11(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) 36 415N 358W 64 X X( X) 16(16) 7(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 48 433N 317W 34 X X( X) 19(19) 37(56) 11(67) X(67) X(67) 48 433N 317W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 8(35) X(35) X(35) 48 433N 317W 64 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) 72 468N 239W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 37(39) 7(46) X(46) 72 468N 239W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 4(18) X(18) 72 468N 239W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 96 504N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20(26) 4(30) 96 504N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) 96 504N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 120 550N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) 120 550N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 120 550N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 75 70 65 60 55 45 40 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Saturday, 23-Sep-2006 12:20:02 UTC