Hurricane HELENE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
2100 UTC WED SEP 20 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) 1(15)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 279N 575W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 279N 575W 50 92 5(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 279N 575W 64 63 20(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 306N 572W 34 26 67(93) 4(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 306N 572W 50 2 69(71) 12(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 306N 572W 64 X 42(42) 17(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
36 339N 555W 34 X 16(16) 66(82) 9(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92)
36 339N 555W 50 X 1( 1) 51(52) 13(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66)
36 339N 555W 64 X X( X) 26(26) 10(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
48 375N 523W 34 X X( X) 11(11) 58(69) 12(81) X(81) X(81)
48 375N 523W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 37(38) 12(50) X(50) X(50)
48 375N 523W 64 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22)
72 435N 430W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 49(49) 11(60) X(60)
72 435N 430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 6(27) X(27)
72 435N 430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13)
96 485N 350W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 30(34) 7(41)
96 485N 350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 3(18)
96 485N 350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7)
120 520N 280W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 14(25)
120 520N 280W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
120 520N 280W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 90 95 90 85 75 65 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA
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