Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Cent
er on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane HELENE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
2100 UTC WED SEP 20 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   5(14)   1(15)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 279N  575W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 279N  575W 50 92   5(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 279N  575W 64 63  20(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 
 24 306N  572W 34 26  67(93)   4(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 24 306N  572W 50  2  69(71)  12(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 24 306N  572W 64  X  42(42)  17(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 
 36 339N  555W 34  X  16(16)  66(82)   9(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 36 339N  555W 50  X   1( 1)  51(52)  13(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 36 339N  555W 64  X   X( X)  26(26)  10(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 
 48 375N  523W 34  X   X( X)  11(11)  58(69)  12(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 48 375N  523W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  37(38)  12(50)   X(50)   X(50)
 48 375N  523W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   6(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
 
 72 435N  430W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  49(49)  11(60)   X(60)
 72 435N  430W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   6(27)   X(27)
 72 435N  430W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   4(13)   X(13)
 
 
 96 485N  350W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  30(34)   7(41)
 96 485N  350W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   3(18)
 96 485N  350W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)
 
 
120 520N  280W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  14(25)
120 520N  280W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)
120 520N  280W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     95      90      85      75      65      55
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Wednesday, 20-Sep-2006 20:35:02 UTC