ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1500 UTC WED SEP 20 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 273N 570W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 273N 570W 50 95 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 273N 570W 64 73 10(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) 24 294N 573W 34 65 31(96) 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 24 294N 573W 50 9 67(76) 9(85) X(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) 24 294N 573W 64 1 47(48) 13(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) 36 323N 564W 34 2 30(32) 52(84) 8(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) 36 323N 564W 50 X 3( 3) 52(55) 11(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) 36 323N 564W 64 X X( X) 28(28) 9(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) 48 350N 545W 34 X 1( 1) 29(30) 41(71) 12(83) X(83) X(83) 48 350N 545W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 34(40) 11(51) X(51) X(51) 48 350N 545W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 7(26) 1(27) X(27) 72 405N 470W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 53(54) 10(64) 1(65) 72 405N 470W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 7(32) X(32) 72 405N 470W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 4(16) X(16) 96 460N 365W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 32(33) 7(40) 96 460N 365W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 3(17) 96 460N 365W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 120 500N 280W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 14(21) 120 500N 280W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 120 500N 280W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 90 95 90 85 85 65 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Wednesday, 20-Sep-2006 14:40:02 UTC