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Hurricane HELENE (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
0300 UTC WED SEP 20 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   3(17)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 255N  557W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 255N  557W 50 96   2(98)   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 255N  557W 64 67  11(78)   1(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 
 24 275N  568W 34 57  38(95)   3(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 24 275N  568W 50  7  68(75)  10(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 24 275N  568W 64  1  42(43)  13(56)   1(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 
 36 300N  568W 34  3  38(41)  44(85)   7(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 36 300N  568W 50  X   6( 6)  49(55)  11(66)   2(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 36 300N  568W 64  X   1( 1)  26(27)  10(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
 48 327N  560W 34  X   2( 2)  32(34)  38(72)  13(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 48 327N  560W 50  X   X( X)   8( 8)  35(43)  12(55)   1(56)   X(56)
 48 327N  560W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)  19(21)   8(29)   1(30)   X(30)
 
 
 72 390N  500W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  52(53)  11(64)   1(65)
 72 390N  500W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  25(25)   8(33)   X(33)
 72 390N  500W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   4(16)   X(16)
 
 
 96 450N  400W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  36(37)   8(45)
 96 450N  400W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   5(20)
 96 450N  400W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)
 
 
120 490N  300W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  17(23)
120 490N  300W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
120 490N  300W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    100    100      95      95      85      75      60
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER COBB/PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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