Hurricane HELENE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
0900 UTC MON SEP 18 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   8(18)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 231N  504W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 231N  504W 50 91   4(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 12 231N  504W 64 70  11(81)   1(82)   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 
 24 237N  517W 34 76  19(95)   2(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 24 237N  517W 50 18  52(70)   9(79)   2(81)   2(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 24 237N  517W 64  6  42(48)  10(58)   2(60)   1(61)   1(62)   X(62)
 
 36 240N  533W 34  9  51(60)  23(83)   5(88)   4(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 36 240N  533W 50  1  23(24)  31(55)   9(64)   4(68)   1(69)   1(70)
 36 240N  533W 64  X  11(11)  26(37)   8(45)   3(48)   X(48)   1(49)
 
 48 243N  550W 34  2  15(17)  36(53)  20(73)   9(82)   2(84)   1(85)
 48 243N  550W 50  X   3( 3)  21(24)  21(45)  10(55)   3(58)   X(58)
 48 243N  550W 64  X   1( 1)  11(12)  15(27)   8(35)   2(37)   X(37)
 
 
 72 260N  575W 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  19(29)  31(60)   8(68)   2(70)
 72 260N  575W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  24(32)   7(39)   2(41)
 72 260N  575W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)   5(23)   1(24)
 
 
 96 282N  589W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  28(33)  16(49)   6(55)
 96 282N  589W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)  10(23)   3(26)
 96 282N  589W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)   3(16)
 
 
120 300N  600W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)  20(34)   9(43)
120 300N  600W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   5(19)
120 300N  600W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    110    115     115     110     105     100      95
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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