ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 200N 474W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 200N 474W 50 68 12(80) 1(81) X(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) 12 200N 474W 64 30 18(48) 2(50) X(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) 24 209N 487W 34 60 30(90) 5(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 24 209N 487W 50 6 49(55) 8(63) 1(64) 2(66) 1(67) X(67) 24 209N 487W 64 1 29(30) 11(41) 1(42) 1(43) 1(44) X(44) 36 218N 498W 34 11 48(59) 20(79) 6(85) 4(89) X(89) 1(90) 36 218N 498W 50 1 16(17) 28(45) 8(53) 3(56) 1(57) X(57) 36 218N 498W 64 X 6( 6) 19(25) 6(31) 3(34) 1(35) X(35) 48 226N 510W 34 3 20(23) 31(54) 16(70) 9(79) 1(80) 1(81) 48 226N 510W 50 X 3( 3) 19(22) 14(36) 9(45) 1(46) 1(47) 48 226N 510W 64 X 1( 1) 9(10) 10(20) 6(26) 1(27) X(27) 72 240N 535W 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 17(28) 25(53) 8(61) 2(63) 72 240N 535W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 18(26) 6(32) 1(33) 72 240N 535W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 3(16) 1(17) 96 260N 560W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) 17(42) 7(49) 96 260N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 11(18) 2(20) 96 260N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 120 290N 575W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 15(21) 10(31) 120 290N 575W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 120 290N 575W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 70 80 85 85 85 80 75 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN/LANDSEA NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Saturday, 16-Sep-2006 20:55:01 UTC