Tropical Storm HELENE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
1500 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 166N 431W 34 91 3(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 166N 431W 50 55 12(67) X(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
12 166N 431W 64 8 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13) X(13)
24 178N 450W 34 15 61(76) 6(82) 3(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86)
24 178N 450W 50 1 41(42) 9(51) 1(52) 1(53) 1(54) X(54)
24 178N 450W 64 X 13(13) 6(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
36 187N 465W 34 3 32(35) 30(65) 9(74) 5(79) X(79) 1(80)
36 187N 465W 50 X 9( 9) 26(35) 7(42) 3(45) 1(46) X(46)
36 187N 465W 64 X 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) 2(20) 1(21) X(21)
48 195N 480W 34 X 8( 8) 29(37) 20(57) 11(68) 1(69) 1(70)
48 195N 480W 50 X 1( 1) 13(14) 15(29) 9(38) 1(39) 1(40)
48 195N 480W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16) 1(17) 1(18)
72 215N 505W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 30(49) 8(57) 2(59)
72 215N 505W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 7(29) 1(30)
72 215N 505W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) 2(17)
96 235N 530W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 18(39) 8(47)
96 235N 530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 4(22)
96 235N 530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10)
120 260N 550W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 13(33)
120 260N 550W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 7(15)
120 260N 550W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60 65 70 75 85 85 85
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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