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Tropical Depression EIGHT


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
0900 UTC WED SEP 13 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 122N  290W 34 14   3(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 12 122N  290W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 122N  290W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 128N  323W 34  X  19(19)   9(28)   X(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 24 128N  323W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 24 128N  323W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 137N  352W 34  X   2( 2)  23(25)  10(35)   1(36)   X(36)   1(37)
 36 137N  352W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)
 36 137N  352W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 147N  379W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  21(25)  10(35)   1(36)   1(37)
 48 147N  379W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)
 48 147N  379W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 175N  425W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  23(25)   9(34)   3(37)
 72 175N  425W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   4(12)   1(13)
 72 175N  425W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
 
 
 96 195N  450W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  15(25)   8(33)
 96 195N  450W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   3(11)
 96 195N  450W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
 
120 215N  475W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)  11(25)
120 215N  475W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)
120 215N  475W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      40      45      55      65      80
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 13-Sep-2006 08:40:02 UTC