ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0300 UTC WED SEP 13 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 25.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 121N 278W 34 21 8(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) 12 121N 278W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 121N 278W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 124N 313W 34 X 27(27) 10(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 24 124N 313W 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 24 124N 313W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 129N 348W 34 X 1( 1) 29(30) 9(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) 36 129N 348W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 36 129N 348W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 138N 380W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 23(27) 11(38) 1(39) 1(40) 48 138N 380W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) 48 138N 380W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 72 163N 430W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 10(37) 3(40) 72 163N 430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) 1(15) 72 163N 430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 96 190N 470W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20(26) 9(35) 96 190N 470W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) 96 190N 470W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 120 215N 500W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 13(25) 120 215N 500W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 120 215N 500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 60 75 90 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Wednesday, 13-Sep-2006 02:55:01 UTC