ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 23.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 127N 253W 34 13 4(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 12 127N 253W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 127N 253W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 130N 284W 34 X 20(20) 8(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) 24 130N 284W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 130N 284W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 135N 315W 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 10(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) 36 135N 315W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 36 135N 315W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 140N 348W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 11(37) 1(38) X(38) 48 140N 348W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) 48 140N 348W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 155N 415W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 10(37) 2(39) 72 155N 415W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) X(15) 72 155N 415W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 96 170N 470W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) 8(34) 96 170N 470W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 96 170N 470W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 120 190N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 13(23) 120 190N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 120 190N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 50 65 75 85 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 12-Sep-2006 14:35:01 UTC