Hurricane HELENE

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HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  54.1W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 95NE  70SE  55SW  95NW.
34 KT.......190NE 140SE 115SW 165NW.
12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 240SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  54.1W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  53.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.2N  55.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  50SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 95NE  70SE  60SW  95NW.
34 KT...195NE 140SE 120SW 165NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.7N  56.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE  85SE  65SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 165SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 28.9N  56.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  55SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 190SE 135SW 155NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 32.0N  56.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...110NE  90SE  75SW  95NW.
34 KT...215NE 190SE 150SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.0N  51.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...120NE 105SE  85SW 100NW.
34 KT...215NE 205SE 175SW 190NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 45.3N  41.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 49.0N  30.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N  54.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MUSHER
 
 
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