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Tropical Storm HELENE


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006
0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  38.9W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  45SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  38.9W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  38.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.3N  40.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.4N  43.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.5N  45.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  60SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.5N  46.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.3N  49.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  75SW 125NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 22.4N  51.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 24.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  38.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Sep-2006 02:55:01 UTC