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Tropical Depression EIGHT


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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006
1500 UTC WED SEP 13 2006
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  28.5W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  28.5W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  27.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 12.2N  30.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 12.8N  34.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.8N  37.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.1N  39.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.0N  43.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 20.0N  46.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 22.0N  49.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N  28.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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