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Hurricane GORDON


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
1500 UTC SUN SEP 17 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 352N  516W 34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 352N  516W 50 70  11(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 12 352N  516W 64 24   6(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
 24 369N  484W 34  5  78(83)   8(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 24 369N  484W 50  X  42(42)  10(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 24 369N  484W 64  X  15(15)   5(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
 36 386N  435W 34  X   4( 4)  62(66)  10(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 36 386N  435W 50  X   X( X)  26(26)   8(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 36 386N  435W 64  X   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
 48 395N  372W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  47(50)  10(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 48 395N  372W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   7(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 48 395N  372W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 400N  220W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  30(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 72 400N  220W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 72 400N  220W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     65      60      60      55       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Sunday, 17-Sep-2006 14:40:02 UTC