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Hurricane GORDON


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
0900 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 320N  533W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 320N  533W 50 83   6(89)   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
 12 320N  533W 64 38   5(43)   1(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 
 24 332N  527W 34 56  28(84)   6(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 24 332N  527W 50 11  34(45)   8(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 24 332N  527W 64  3  12(15)   4(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
 36 351N  512W 34  3  22(25)  38(63)  10(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 36 351N  512W 50  X   3( 3)  23(26)   7(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 36 351N  512W 64  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 48 373N  480W 34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  37(48)   9(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 48 373N  480W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   5(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 48 373N  480W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 405N  355W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  28(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 72 405N  355W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 72 405N  355W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     60      55      55      50       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN/KNABB                                           
                                                                    
                                                                    
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