| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Hurricane GORDON (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 317N  532W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 317N  532W 50 78   7(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 12 317N  532W 64 40   6(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 
 24 326N  525W 34 62  23(85)   5(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 24 326N  525W 50 14  33(47)   7(54)   2(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 24 326N  525W 64  3  11(14)   3(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
 36 340N  514W 34  6  31(37)  28(65)  10(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 36 340N  514W 50  1   8( 9)  17(26)   7(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 36 340N  514W 64  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 48 361N  486W 34  X   3( 3)  11(14)  34(48)  10(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 48 361N  486W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   6(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 48 361N  486W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 409N  377W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  28(28)   9(37)   X(37)
 72 409N  377W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   4(12)   X(12)
 72 409N  377W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 425N  210W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)   X(20)
 96 425N  210W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
 96 425N  210W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     60      55      55      50      50       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN