Hurricane GORDON

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
0900 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 314N  531W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 314N  531W 50 88   4(92)   1(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 12 314N  531W 64 61   9(70)   1(71)   1(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 
 24 321N  525W 34 92   4(96)   1(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 24 321N  525W 50 37  29(66)   6(72)   1(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 24 321N  525W 64 13  26(39)   6(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 
 36 330N  519W 34 40  33(73)   9(82)   4(86)   2(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 36 330N  519W 50  4  26(30)  18(48)   5(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 36 330N  519W 64  1  11(12)  12(24)   3(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
 48 347N  505W 34  2  13(15)  24(39)  19(58)   9(67)   1(68)   X(68)
 48 347N  505W 50  X   2( 2)   8(10)  15(25)   6(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 48 347N  505W 64  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
 
 72 385N  435W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  28(29)   6(35)   X(35)
 72 385N  435W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 72 385N  435W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 420N  320W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   6(27)
 96 420N  320W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)
 96 420N  320W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 460N  190W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)
120 460N  190W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
120 460N  190W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     90     80      70      60      50      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN/KNABB                                           
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN