Hurricane GORDON

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 301N  556W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 301N  556W 50 87   6(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   1(94)
 12 301N  556W 64 60  13(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 
 24 314N  545W 34 62  31(93)   2(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 24 314N  545W 50  9  55(64)   7(71)   1(72)   1(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 24 314N  545W 64  3  37(40)   7(47)   1(48)   X(48)   1(49)   X(49)
 
 36 323N  537W 34  9  61(70)  12(82)   2(84)   4(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 36 323N  537W 50  X  29(29)  22(51)   4(55)   3(58)   X(58)   1(59)
 36 323N  537W 64  X  12(12)  16(28)   2(30)   2(32)   1(33)   X(33)
 
 48 328N  532W 34  3  45(48)  22(70)   6(76)   5(81)   1(82)   X(82)
 48 328N  532W 50  X  13(13)  23(36)   6(42)   5(47)   1(48)   X(48)
 48 328N  532W 64  X   5( 5)  13(18)   4(22)   3(25)   1(26)   X(26)
 
 
 72 345N  510W 34  X   4( 4)  18(22)  12(34)  20(54)   6(60)   1(61)
 72 345N  510W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)  14(23)   3(26)   1(27)
 72 345N  510W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   7(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
 
 96 380N  460W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  17(25)   7(32)
 96 380N  460W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)
 96 380N  460W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 420N  370W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)
120 420N  370W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
120 420N  370W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    105     90      80      70      65      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN/KNABB                                           
                                                                    
                                                                    
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