Hurricane GORDON
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0900 UTC WED SEP 13 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 264N 577W 34 93 4(97) X(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 264N 577W 50 53 14(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
12 264N 577W 64 47 15(62) X(62) X(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63)
24 281N 572W 34 14 67(81) 9(90) 1(91) X(91) 1(92) X(92)
24 281N 572W 50 2 44(46) 10(56) 2(58) 1(59) 1(60) X(60)
24 281N 572W 64 1 32(33) 11(44) 1(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
36 297N 565W 34 1 32(33) 37(70) 8(78) 5(83) X(83) X(83)
36 297N 565W 50 X 8( 8) 30(38) 8(46) 3(49) X(49) 1(50)
36 297N 565W 64 X 3( 3) 21(24) 6(30) 1(31) 1(32) X(32)
48 309N 558W 34 X 7( 7) 40(47) 18(65) 8(73) 2(75) X(75)
48 309N 558W 50 X 1( 1) 17(18) 16(34) 7(41) 1(42) X(42)
48 309N 558W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23)
72 325N 545W 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 24(38) 18(56) 5(61) 1(62)
72 325N 545W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 14(26) 3(29) 1(30)
72 325N 545W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 2(15) 1(16)
96 340N 525W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 21(33) 9(42) 4(46)
96 340N 525W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 5(17) 2(19)
96 340N 525W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9)
120 365N 495W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 10(17) 7(24)
120 365N 495W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9)
120 365N 495W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 75 80 80 80 70 55 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/KNABB
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