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Hurricane GORDON


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
0900 UTC WED SEP 13 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 264N  577W 34 93   4(97)   X(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 264N  577W 50 53  14(67)   1(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 12 264N  577W 64 47  15(62)   X(62)   X(62)   1(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 
 24 281N  572W 34 14  67(81)   9(90)   1(91)   X(91)   1(92)   X(92)
 24 281N  572W 50  2  44(46)  10(56)   2(58)   1(59)   1(60)   X(60)
 24 281N  572W 64  1  32(33)  11(44)   1(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 
 36 297N  565W 34  1  32(33)  37(70)   8(78)   5(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 36 297N  565W 50  X   8( 8)  30(38)   8(46)   3(49)   X(49)   1(50)
 36 297N  565W 64  X   3( 3)  21(24)   6(30)   1(31)   1(32)   X(32)
 
 48 309N  558W 34  X   7( 7)  40(47)  18(65)   8(73)   2(75)   X(75)
 48 309N  558W 50  X   1( 1)  17(18)  16(34)   7(41)   1(42)   X(42)
 48 309N  558W 64  X   X( X)   7( 7)  11(18)   5(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
 
 72 325N  545W 34  X   1( 1)  13(14)  24(38)  18(56)   5(61)   1(62)
 72 325N  545W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)  14(26)   3(29)   1(30)
 72 325N  545W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   8(13)   2(15)   1(16)
 
 
 96 340N  525W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)  21(33)   9(42)   4(46)
 96 340N  525W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   5(17)   2(19)
 96 340N  525W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)
 
 
120 365N  495W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  10(17)   7(24)
120 365N  495W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)
120 365N  495W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     75     80      80      80      70      55      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN/KNABB                                           
                                                                    
                                                                    
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