Tropical Storm GORDON
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 6(24)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 224N 583W 34 52 21(73) 2(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) 1(77)
12 224N 583W 50 11 10(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
12 224N 583W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 237N 593W 34 2 56(58) 11(69) 5(74) 1(75) 1(76) X(76)
24 237N 593W 50 1 20(21) 11(32) 2(34) 1(35) 1(36) X(36)
24 237N 593W 64 X 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
36 250N 601W 34 1 17(18) 36(54) 10(64) 6(70) 1(71) X(71)
36 250N 601W 50 X 5( 5) 20(25) 7(32) 3(35) 1(36) 1(37)
36 250N 601W 64 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
48 265N 605W 34 X 4( 4) 26(30) 21(51) 12(63) 3(66) X(66)
48 265N 605W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 15(23) 7(30) 2(32) 1(33)
48 265N 605W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14)
72 290N 605W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 26(47) 8(55) 2(57)
72 290N 605W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) 5(26) 2(28)
72 290N 605W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) 1(13)
96 315N 600W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 21(26) 15(41) 7(48)
96 315N 600W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 8(17) 3(20)
96 315N 600W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9)
120 340N 595W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 15(24) 9(33)
120 340N 595W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 5(14)
120 340N 595W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 55 60 65 70 70 70
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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