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Tropical Depression SEVEN


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
0900 UTC MON SEP 11 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   7(16)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 207N  559W 34 19  13(32)   2(34)   1(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 12 207N  559W 50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 207N  559W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 213N  572W 34  4  27(31)   7(38)   3(41)   2(43)   1(44)   X(44)
 24 213N  572W 50  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 24 213N  572W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 221N  584W 34  1  10(11)  18(29)   7(36)   4(40)   1(41)   X(41)
 36 221N  584W 50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 36 221N  584W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 231N  596W 34  X   3( 3)  10(13)  15(28)   8(36)   2(38)   1(39)
 48 231N  596W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 48 231N  596W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 
 
 72 255N  615W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  19(27)   7(34)   3(37)
 72 255N  615W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)
 72 255N  615W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
 
 96 280N  625W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)  12(26)   4(30)
 96 280N  625W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)
 96 280N  625W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 310N  620W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   8(21)
120 310N  620W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
120 310N  620W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      35      40      45      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:37 UTC