Tropical Storm GORDON

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TROPICAL STORM GORDON DISCUSSION NUMBER  39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006
1100 AM EDT WED SEP 20 2006
 
GORDON HAS WEAKENED BUT IT IS RETAINING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. IT
STILL HAS A CORE AND DEEP CONVECTION JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
CENTER. HOWEVER...A STRONG COLD FRONT IS ALREADY VERY NEAR THE CORE
OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND GORDON SHOULD BECOME FULLY
EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY. INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 50
KNOTS AND ONLY A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE IT BECOMES
ABSORBED BY THE COLD FRONT IN A DAY OR SO.

GORDON IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS BUT A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED AS THE CYCLONE BECOMES MORE EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE FLOW AHEAD OF A STRONG MID-LATITUDE WAVE. THIS MOTION
WOULD BRING THE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE NEAR NORTHWESTERN SPAIN BUT
BY THEN...THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE IN THE PROCESS OF BEING ABSORBED BY
THE COLD FRONT.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      20/1500Z 37.8N  20.9W    50 KT
 12HR VT     21/0000Z 39.5N  15.5W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     21/1200Z 45.0N  11.0W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     22/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT
 
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FORECASTER AVILA
 
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