Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Cent
er on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane FLORENCE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36              
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006               
1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
38.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   3( 3)  54(57)  22(79)   1(80)   X(80)   X(80)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)  17(17)  21(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X  48(48)  38(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   4( 4)  31(35)   2(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   1( 1)   9(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X  53(53)  11(64)   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X  25(25)   7(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X  13(13)   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  6  16(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  2  23(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34 69  15(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 406N  587W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 406N  587W 50 93   2(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 12 406N  587W 64 42   4(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 
 24 439N  551W 34 40  57(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 24 439N  551W 50  X  65(65)   9(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 24 439N  551W 64  X  25(25)   5(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
 36 465N  505W 34  X  26(26)  54(80)   5(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 36 465N  505W 50  X   1( 1)  40(41)   9(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
 36 465N  505W 64  X   X( X)  13(13)   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
 48 478N  446W 34  X   X( X)  16(16)  43(59)   8(67)   X(67)   X(67)
 48 478N  446W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)   7(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 48 478N  446W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 72 495N  300W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 72 495N  300W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 72 495N  300W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     65      60      55      45       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH                                                   
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 12-Sep-2006 14:45:01 UTC