Hurricane FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0300 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
35.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 32(33) 29(62) X(62) X(62)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) X(22) X(22)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 19(19) 44(63) 5(68) X(68) X(68)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 28(28) 20(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 14(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
SYDNEY NS 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X 27(27) 30(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
HALIFAX NS 34 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BERMUDA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 378N 626W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 378N 626W 50 90 4(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
12 378N 626W 64 38 10(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
24 406N 599W 34 37 57(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
24 406N 599W 50 1 56(57) 8(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
24 406N 599W 64 X 17(17) 6(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
36 440N 564W 34 X 13(13) 64(77) 8(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
36 440N 564W 50 X X( X) 30(30) 9(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
36 440N 564W 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
48 465N 515W 34 X X( X) 12(12) 47(59) 10(69) X(69) X(69)
48 465N 515W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 7(28) X(28) X(28)
48 465N 515W 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
72 495N 370W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 6(36) X(36)
72 495N 370W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11)
72 495N 370W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 520N 200W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16)
96 520N 200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
96 520N 200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 65 60 60 45 40 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
NNNN
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