Hurricane FLORENCE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32              
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006               
1500 UTC MON SEP 11 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
32.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  42(44)   5(49)   X(49)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   3(17)   X(17)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  32(44)   2(46)   X(46)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   1(15)   X(15)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  15(30)   X(30)   X(30)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   8(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)  13(13)  24(37)   3(40)   X(40)   X(40)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BERMUDA        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BERMUDA        50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BERMUDA        64 32   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 347N  649W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 347N  649W 50 84   6(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
 12 347N  649W 64 54  12(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 
 24 371N  634W 34 65  30(95)   2(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 24 371N  634W 50  2  56(58)  10(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 24 371N  634W 64  X  27(27)   7(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
 36 400N  608W 34  1  27(28)  52(80)   6(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 36 400N  608W 50  X   2( 2)  32(34)   9(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 36 400N  608W 64  X   X( X)  14(14)   5(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
 48 434N  567W 34  X   X( X)  10(10)  47(57)  11(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 48 434N  567W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   8(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 48 434N  567W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 72 475N  460W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  37(38)  10(48)   X(48)
 72 475N  460W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   3(16)   X(16)
 72 475N  460W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 505N  300W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)   X(23)
 96 505N  300W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)
 96 505N  300W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     75     70      65      60      55      50       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN