ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 0900 UTC MON SEP 11 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 15(42) X(42) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15) X(15) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 36(38) 4(42) X(42) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 2(30) X(30) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 1(17) X(17) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) X(18) X(18) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) 1(19) X(19) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) 15(44) 1(45) X(45) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) X(13) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 50 29 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) BERMUDA 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 336N 656W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 336N 656W 50 82 7(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 12 336N 656W 64 49 14(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) 24 360N 645W 34 66 29(95) 2(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 24 360N 645W 50 2 55(57) 10(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) 24 360N 645W 64 X 29(29) 7(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) 36 385N 625W 34 2 41(43) 38(81) 5(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) 36 385N 625W 50 X 3( 3) 33(36) 8(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) 36 385N 625W 64 X 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 48 415N 600W 34 X X( X) 22(22) 38(60) 11(71) X(71) X(71) 48 415N 600W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 8(29) X(29) X(29) 48 415N 600W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) 72 465N 505W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 37(38) 9(47) X(47) 72 465N 505W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 4(16) X(16) 72 465N 505W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 500N 350W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) 96 500N 350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) 96 500N 350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 70 70 65 60 55 50 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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