Hurricane FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
1500 UTC SUN SEP 10 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 30(39) 5(44)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 20(45) 2(47)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) X(19)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 10(37) 1(38)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) 1(14)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 7(24) 2(26)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 6(19) X(19)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 3(19) X(19)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 3(21) 1(22)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 32(36) 3(39) X(39)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) X(15)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) 1(13)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 70 25(95) 1(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
BERMUDA 50 3 56(59) 8(67) X(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68)
BERMUDA 64 X 30(30) 8(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 303N 662W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 303N 662W 50 92 4(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 303N 662W 64 62 14(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
24 327N 655W 34 70 27(97) 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
24 327N 655W 50 3 72(75) 8(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 327N 655W 64 X 49(49) 11(60) X(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61)
36 354N 638W 34 1 42(43) 46(89) 5(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
36 354N 638W 50 X 4( 4) 52(56) 10(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67)
36 354N 638W 64 X 1( 1) 29(30) 8(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39)
48 381N 615W 34 X X( X) 33(33) 40(73) 9(82) X(82) X(82)
48 381N 615W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 33(38) 9(47) X(47) X(47)
48 381N 615W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23)
72 445N 550W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 44(45) 11(56) X(56)
72 445N 550W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 5(22) X(22)
72 445N 550W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10)
96 480N 460W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 28(32) 7(39)
96 480N 460W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15)
96 480N 460W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
120 480N 350W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17)
120 480N 350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
120 480N 350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 80 95 90 80 65 60 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH
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