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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC SAT SEP 09 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 17(37)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 9(39)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 5(29)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 4(20)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 2(18)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 3(19)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 19(32) 1(33)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 1(14)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 2(15)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 1 19(20) 40(60) 23(83) 6(89) X(89) X(89)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) 19(19) 28(47) 7(54) X(54) X(54)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) 4(29) X(29) X(29)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 268N 652W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 268N 652W 50 70 8(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
12 268N 652W 64 22 10(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
24 287N 657W 34 76 20(96) 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
24 287N 657W 50 3 56(59) 10(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
24 287N 657W 64 1 27(28) 11(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
36 308N 655W 34 18 41(59) 29(88) 6(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95)
36 308N 655W 50 X 8( 8) 40(48) 10(58) 2(60) X(60) X(60)
36 308N 655W 64 X 2( 2) 24(26) 9(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37)
48 333N 646W 34 X 7( 7) 35(42) 34(76) 11(87) X(87) X(87)
48 333N 646W 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 31(40) 11(51) 1(52) X(52)
48 333N 646W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 7(28) X(28) X(28)
72 390N 600W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 52(55) 11(66) X(66)
72 390N 600W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 7(31) X(31)
72 390N 600W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 3(16) X(16)
96 450N 520W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 34(36) 9(45)
96 450N 520W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 4(19)
96 450N 520W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
120 490N 430W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 17(24)
120 490N 430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
120 490N 430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 75 85 90 80 70 60
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:37 UTC