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Tropical Storm FLORENCE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006               
0300 UTC SAT SEP 09 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  20(25)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  22(36)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)  17(33)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  13(26)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  10(22)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   8(25)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)   9(27)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   5(12)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  28(30)  10(40)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   4(17)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   4(19)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   3(14)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)
MONCTON NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   3( 3)  21(24)  32(56)  23(79)   2(81)   X(81)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)  27(47)   2(49)   X(49)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  19(27)   1(28)   X(28)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 255N  630W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 255N  630W 50 83   5(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 12 255N  630W 64 19  14(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
 24 270N  645W 34 79  18(97)   1(98)   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 24 270N  645W 50 10  57(67)   8(75)   2(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 24 270N  645W 64  X  33(33)  10(43)   2(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 
 36 287N  653W 34 35  37(72)  19(91)   3(94)   2(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 36 287N  653W 50  X  19(19)  38(57)   9(66)   3(69)   X(69)   X(69)
 36 287N  653W 64  X   4( 4)  26(30)   8(38)   2(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 
 48 307N  654W 34  2  24(26)  33(59)  21(80)   9(89)   1(90)   X(90)
 48 307N  654W 50  X   1( 1)  18(19)  26(45)  12(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 48 307N  654W 64  X   X( X)   5( 5)  19(24)   9(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
 
 72 355N  630W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  48(57)  11(68)   1(69)
 72 355N  630W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  28(29)   7(36)   X(36)
 72 355N  630W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   4(19)   X(19)
 
 
 96 425N  575W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  35(38)  10(48)
 96 425N  575W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   5(22)
 96 425N  575W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)
 
 
120 480N  480W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  21(25)
120 480N  480W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
120 480N  480W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     75      85      90      85      75      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB/LANDSEA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN