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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 21(26)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 21(34)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 16(31)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 12(23)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 9(20)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 7(21)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 9(23)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 9(37)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X 1( 1) 26(27) 31(58) 23(81) 3(84) X(84)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 26(49) 2(51) X(51)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 17(25) 1(26) X(26)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 249N 618W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 249N 618W 50 50 18(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
12 249N 618W 64 4 6(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
24 265N 637W 34 77 19(96) 1(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
24 265N 637W 50 2 57(59) 10(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
24 265N 637W 64 X 19(19) 12(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
36 285N 650W 34 12 52(64) 24(88) 5(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94)
36 285N 650W 50 X 10(10) 44(54) 8(62) 3(65) 1(66) X(66)
36 285N 650W 64 X 1( 1) 22(23) 11(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36)
48 305N 650W 34 X 21(21) 43(64) 19(83) 8(91) 1(92) X(92)
48 305N 650W 50 X X( X) 18(18) 30(48) 11(59) X(59) X(59)
48 305N 650W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 19(24) 8(32) X(32) X(32)
72 350N 630W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 46(61) 11(72) 1(73)
72 350N 630W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) 7(38) 1(39)
72 350N 630W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 4(20) X(20)
96 420N 570W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 36(39) 11(50)
96 420N 570W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 5(23)
96 420N 570W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10)
120 471N 480W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20(26)
120 471N 480W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
120 471N 480W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55 65 75 85 85 75 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:37 UTC