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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0300 UTC THU SEP 07 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 17(26) 10(36)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 8(18)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 205N 540W 34 86 7(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
12 205N 540W 50 21 10(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
12 205N 540W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 219N 567W 34 6 64(70) 11(81) 1(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83)
24 219N 567W 50 X 24(24) 14(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
24 219N 567W 64 X 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
36 231N 594W 34 X 13(13) 50(63) 14(77) 2(79) X(79) X(79)
36 231N 594W 50 X 1( 1) 29(30) 11(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43)
36 231N 594W 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17)
48 243N 621W 34 X 1( 1) 21(22) 36(58) 15(73) 1(74) 1(75)
48 243N 621W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) 12(40) 2(42) X(42)
48 243N 621W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) 1(19) X(19)
72 270N 660W 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 42(52) 12(64) 2(66)
72 270N 660W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 9(34) 2(36)
72 270N 660W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 6(20) 2(22)
96 300N 670W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 23(48) 8(56)
96 300N 670W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 6(28)
96 300N 670W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 3(16)
120 335N 665W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 15(38)
120 335N 665W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18)
120 335N 665W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 55 65 75 90 100 95
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH
NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:37 UTC