Tropical Storm FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC WED SEP 06 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 12(32)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 200N 530W 34 88 6(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
12 200N 530W 50 21 12(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
12 200N 530W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 215N 555W 34 7 68(75) 10(85) 1(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87)
24 215N 555W 50 X 33(33) 14(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
24 215N 555W 64 X 7( 7) 7(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
36 227N 582W 34 X 15(15) 51(66) 13(79) 3(82) X(82) X(82)
36 227N 582W 50 X 1( 1) 34(35) 11(46) 3(49) X(49) X(49)
36 227N 582W 64 X X( X) 12(12) 8(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22)
48 237N 607W 34 X 1( 1) 26(27) 33(60) 15(75) 1(76) 1(77)
48 237N 607W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) 12(43) 2(45) X(45)
48 237N 607W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 7(21) 1(22) X(22)
72 260N 650W 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 42(52) 11(63) 3(66)
72 260N 650W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 8(34) 2(36)
72 260N 650W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 5(19) 2(21)
96 290N 670W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 23(46) 10(56)
96 290N 670W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) 6(28)
96 290N 670W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 4(15)
120 325N 670W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 15(38)
120 325N 670W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18)
120 325N 670W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 60 70 80 95 100 95
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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