Tropical Storm FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10)
PONCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12)
SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10)
SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 2(14)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 2(14)
BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 2(11)
ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 180N 499W 34 83 5(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
12 180N 499W 50 10 6(16) X(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
12 180N 499W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 188N 519W 34 14 52(66) 8(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
24 188N 519W 50 X 16(16) 9(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
24 188N 519W 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 197N 540W 34 1 19(20) 35(55) 8(63) 3(66) X(66) X(66)
36 197N 540W 50 X 2( 2) 18(20) 7(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28)
36 197N 540W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 206N 565W 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 26(45) 13(58) 1(59) X(59)
48 206N 565W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 7(24) 1(25) X(25)
48 206N 565W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
72 223N 611W 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 32(38) 10(48) 3(51)
72 223N 611W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 7(21) 1(22)
72 223N 611W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10)
96 243N 657W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 24(32) 10(42)
96 243N 657W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 5(19)
96 243N 657W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
120 270N 690W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 15(30)
120 270N 690W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12)
120 270N 690W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 50 55 60 70 80 90
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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