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Tropical Depression SIX


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006               
0900 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
PONCE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
SAN JUAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)
SAN JUAN       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)
SAINT THOMAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)
SAINT MAARTEN  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)
BARBUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)
ANTIGUA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
 
AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 184N  473W 34 18   9(27)   1(28)   X(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 12 184N  473W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 184N  473W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 192N  490W 34  1  26(27)  10(37)   1(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 24 192N  490W 50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 24 192N  490W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 199N  509W 34  X   6( 6)  25(31)   8(39)   3(42)   1(43)   X(43)
 36 199N  509W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 36 199N  509W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 205N  531W 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  19(29)  12(41)   1(42)   X(42)
 48 205N  531W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 48 205N  531W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 220N  580W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  28(30)  11(41)   2(43)
 72 220N  580W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   4(15)   1(16)
 72 220N  580W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 96 235N  625W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  20(28)   8(36)
 96 235N  625W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   5(15)
 96 235N  625W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
 
120 255N  660W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)  13(26)
120 255N  660W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)
120 255N  660W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      40      45      60      70      80
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:37 UTC