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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0300 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
PONCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11)
SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11)
SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15)
BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13)
ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 179N 459W 34 31 13(44) 1(45) X(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
12 179N 459W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 179N 459W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 186N 477W 34 1 37(38) 10(48) 2(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51)
24 186N 477W 50 X 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12)
24 186N 477W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 192N 495W 34 X 10(10) 29(39) 8(47) 4(51) X(51) X(51)
36 192N 495W 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15)
36 192N 495W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 198N 515W 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 21(35) 11(46) 1(47) 1(48)
48 198N 515W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
48 198N 515W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 210N 560W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 28(32) 10(42) 2(44)
72 210N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) 2(17)
72 210N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
96 220N 605W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 18(26) 9(35)
96 220N 605W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14)
96 220N 605W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
120 240N 650W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 13(24)
120 240N 650W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10)
120 240N 650W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 60 70 80
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:37 UTC