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Tropical Depression SIX


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006               
0300 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
PONCE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
PONCE          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
SAN JUAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)
SAN JUAN       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)
SAINT THOMAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   7(15)
SAINT MAARTEN  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
SAINT MAARTEN  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   6(13)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   6(15)
BARBUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   5(13)
ANTIGUA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)
GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)
 
MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 179N  459W 34 31  13(44)   1(45)   X(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 12 179N  459W 50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 179N  459W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 186N  477W 34  1  37(38)  10(48)   2(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 24 186N  477W 50  X   6( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 24 186N  477W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 192N  495W 34  X  10(10)  29(39)   8(47)   4(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 36 192N  495W 50  X   X( X)   9( 9)   4(13)   1(14)   1(15)   X(15)
 36 192N  495W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 198N  515W 34  X   1( 1)  13(14)  21(35)  11(46)   1(47)   1(48)
 48 198N  515W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   4(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 48 198N  515W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 72 210N  560W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  28(32)  10(42)   2(44)
 72 210N  560W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   4(15)   2(17)
 72 210N  560W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 
 
 96 220N  605W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  18(26)   9(35)
 96 220N  605W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   4(14)
 96 220N  605W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
 
120 240N  650W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  13(24)
120 240N  650W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)
120 240N  650W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      60      70      80
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:37 UTC