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Tropical Storm FLORENCE (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2006
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N  60.1W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......325NE 250SE   0SW 250NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 250SE 100SW 325NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N  60.1W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  59.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.9N  61.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE  50SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.5N  63.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE  60SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 28.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...275NE 250SE  75SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...275NE 250SE  75SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 35.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...275NE 275SE 100SW 250NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 42.0N  57.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 47.1N  48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N  60.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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