ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006 1500 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TRENTON NJ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ATLANTIC CITY 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALTIMORE MD 34 5 10(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) DOVER DE 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 8 8(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) WASHINGTON DC 34 11 11(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) OCEAN CITY MD 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 26 3(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) NORFOLK VA 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 380N 775W 34 22 7(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) 12 380N 775W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 380N 775W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 400N 780W 34 1 14(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 24 400N 780W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 400N 780W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 415N 785W 34 X 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 36 415N 785W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 415N 785W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 25 25 0 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:36 UTC