Tropical Depression ERNESTO
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1500 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
TRENTON NJ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALTIMORE MD 34 5 10(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
DOVER DE 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 8 8(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
WASHINGTON DC 34 11 11(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
RICHMOND VA 34 26 3(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
NORFOLK VA 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 380N 775W 34 22 7(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
12 380N 775W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 380N 775W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 400N 780W 34 1 14(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
24 400N 780W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 400N 780W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 415N 785W 34 X 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
36 415N 785W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 415N 785W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 25 25 0 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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