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Tropical Depression FIVE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006               
2100 UTC THU AUG 24 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)
KEY WEST FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
MERIDA MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)
COZUMEL MX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
BELIZE         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
GUANAJA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)
 
BLUEFIELDS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
SAN ANDRES     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
 
PT GALLINAS    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)
PT GALLINAS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
CURACAO        34  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)
 
ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   9(16)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)
HAVANA         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   7(18)
ISLE OF PINES  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   5(15)
CIENFUEGOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)   2(15)
CAMAGUEY       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   5(17)   1(18)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)   8(25)
GRAND CAYMAN   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)
GRAND CAYMAN   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)  12(28)   3(31)
MONTEGO BAY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)
MONTEGO BAY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  21(23)   9(32)   2(34)
KINGSTON       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   1(11)
KINGSTON       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  15(23)   3(26)   1(27)
LES CAYES      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   8(16)   1(17)   1(18)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  11(15)   7(22)   X(22)   1(23)
CAPE BEATA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
PONCE          34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 132N  655W 34 19  12(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 12 132N  655W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 132N  655W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 138N  680W 34  1  30(31)  11(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 24 138N  680W 50  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 24 138N  680W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 146N  702W 34  X   5( 5)  29(34)   8(42)   3(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 36 146N  702W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 146N  702W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 155N  725W 34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  21(29)   9(38)   2(40)   X(40)
 48 155N  725W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   1(13)
 48 155N  725W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 170N  765W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  21(25)   8(33)   2(35)
 72 170N  765W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   1(13)
 72 170N  765W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
 
 96 185N  805W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  15(22)   5(27)
 96 185N  805W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)
 96 185N  805W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 205N  850W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  10(17)
120 205N  850W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
120 205N  850W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      55      60      60
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:36 UTC